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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Politics
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7 %

chance

▼ −1.0%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 7¢No 94¢

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28 outcomes

Total volume

$13.6K

24h vol.

$440.3

1w vol.

$851.3

1m vol.

$9K

Liquidity

$25.7K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

May 26, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$8
6¢$17
5¢$137
4¢$568
3¢$58
2¢$527
1¢$10,014
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$32
11¢$322
12¢$111
13¢$136
14¢$400
16¢$160
17¢$10
18¢$10
19¢$10
20¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy93¢32
1 mo. agoBuy7¢32
1 mo. agoBuy91¢10
1 mo. agoSell91¢10
1 mo. agoBuy10¢59
1 mo. agoBuy90¢59
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoSell10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy10¢13
1 mo. agoBuy90¢13
1 mo. agoBuy10¢12
1 mo. agoSell10¢12
1 mo. agoBuy10¢12
1 mo. agoSell10¢12
1 mo. agoSell8¢10
1 mo. agoBuy8¢10
1 mo. agoBuy9¢23
1 mo. agoSell9¢23
1 mo. agoSell8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢50
1 mo. agoBuy9¢50
1 mo. agoBuy91¢50
1 mo. agoBuy9¢50
1 mo. agoBuy11¢35
1 mo. agoSell11¢35
1 mo. agoBuy11¢36
1 mo. agoSell11¢36
1 mo. agoBuy10¢14
1 mo. agoBuy90¢14
1 mo. agoBuy11¢105
1 mo. agoBuy89¢55
1 mo. agoSell10¢50
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy90¢10
2 mo. agoBuy89¢16
2 mo. agoBuy11¢16
2 mo. agoBuy90¢158
2 mo. agoBuy10¢158
2 mo. agoBuy12¢0
2 mo. agoBuy88¢16
2 mo. agoBuy12¢16
2 mo. agoBuy90¢100
2 mo. agoBuy10¢68
2 mo. agoBuy10¢32
2 mo. agoBuy12¢16

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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