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Updated 15 min. ago
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
93 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 25 buys, 25 sells; the largest was $4.14K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 88% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before the end resolved YES (575 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 8, 2027).
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Highest grossing movie in 2026?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$732.5K
24h vol.
$12.4K
1w vol.
$36.4K
1m vol.
$58.2K
Liquidity
$40.1K
Bid / Ask
92¢ / 93¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
92¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2025
End date
Jan 8, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 575 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 87.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 1 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 130 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 8 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 5 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 9 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 100 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 100 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 74 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 80 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 3,084 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 80 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 630 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 31 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 600 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 167 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 467 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 19 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 20 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 19 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 20 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 200 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 20 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 26 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 15 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 30 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 27 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 44 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 30 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 21 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 15 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 4,624 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 164 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 418 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 20 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 463 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 95 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 20 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 91 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 7 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 14 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 200 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 3 |
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