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Updated 20 hr. ago

Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?
14 %
chance
Curfew in a major French city by...?
4 outcomes- December 3127 %
- November 1518 %
- October 3114 %
- October 249 %
Total volume
$3.2K
24h vol.
$3.2K
1w vol.
$3.2K
1m vol.
$3.2K
Liquidity
$26.2K
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 14¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
13¢
Start date
Oct 18, 2026
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 37¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (8)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 15 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 15 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 15 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 15 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 50 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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