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Updated 20 hr. ago
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?
18 %
chance
Curfew in a major French city by...?
4 outcomes- December 3127 %
- November 1518 %
- October 3114 %
- October 249 %
Total volume
$4.9K
24h vol.
$4.9K
1w vol.
$4.9K
1m vol.
$4.9K
Liquidity
$20.2K
Bid / Ask
17¢ / 18¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
18¢
Start date
Oct 18, 2026
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 4 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 66¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (6)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 12 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 12 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 6 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 6 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
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