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Updated 21 hr. ago

France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?

France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?

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3 %

chance

▼ −0.3%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 3¢No 97¢

France declares state of emergency by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$7.9K

24h vol.

$7.9K

1w vol.

$7.9K

1m vol.

$7.9K

Liquidity

$86K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Oct 18, 2026

End date

Oct 22, 2026

ends in 3 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$521
10¢$619
9¢$467
8¢$74
7¢$81
6¢$200
5¢$100
4¢$125
3¢$474
2¢$1,023
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$300
13¢$277
14¢$431
17¢$250
26¢$280
40¢$8
78¢$20
79¢$50
80¢$200
82¢$11,388

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
22 hr. agoBuy90¢5
22 hr. agoSell90¢5
22 hr. agoBuy88¢14
22 hr. agoBuy12¢14
22 hr. agoBuy88¢349
22 hr. agoBuy12¢50
22 hr. agoSell88¢49
22 hr. agoBuy12¢100
22 hr. agoBuy12¢50
22 hr. agoBuy12¢100
22 hr. agoBuy88¢14
22 hr. agoBuy12¢14
22 hr. agoBuy87¢114
22 hr. agoBuy13¢14
22 hr. agoBuy13¢50
22 hr. agoBuy13¢50
22 hr. agoBuy13¢180
22 hr. agoBuy86¢16
22 hr. agoSell14¢64
22 hr. agoBuy87¢100
22 hr. agoBuy12¢100
22 hr. agoBuy88¢100
23 hr. agoBuy90¢30
23 hr. agoSell90¢30
23 hr. agoSell10¢30
23 hr. agoBuy10¢30
23 hr. agoBuy91¢30
23 hr. agoBuy9¢30
23 hr. agoSell10¢30
23 hr. agoBuy10¢30
23 hr. agoBuy91¢67
23 hr. agoSell91¢37
23 hr. agoBuy9¢30
23 hr. agoBuy86¢133
23 hr. agoBuy14¢49
23 hr. agoBuy14¢50
23 hr. agoBuy14¢33
23 hr. agoBuy85¢33
23 hr. agoBuy15¢33
23 hr. agoBuy85¢3
23 hr. agoBuy15¢3
23 hr. agoBuy14¢441
23 hr. agoBuy85¢50
23 hr. agoBuy86¢50
23 hr. agoBuy86¢7
23 hr. agoBuy86¢329
23 hr. agoBuy87¢5
23 hr. agoBuy13¢100
23 hr. agoBuy86¢50
23 hr. agoBuy88¢50

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Related markets

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