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Updated 5 hr. ago

France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

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9 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 9¢No 92¢

France declares state of emergency by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$10K

24h vol.

$10K

1w vol.

$10K

1m vol.

$10K

Liquidity

$65.8K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 9¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Oct 18, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$1,624
7¢$9,284
6¢$23,332
5¢$19,587
4¢$9,733
3¢$48,224
2¢$42,337
1¢$1,831
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$3,326
10¢$4,266
11¢$24,056
12¢$12,709
13¢$50
14¢$206
15¢$200
16¢$300
17¢$107
18¢$1,550

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 hr. agoBuy9¢56
5 hr. agoSell9¢56
7 hr. agoBuy92¢1
7 hr. agoBuy8¢1
9 hr. agoBuy91¢66
9 hr. agoBuy9¢15
9 hr. agoBuy9¢51
12 hr. agoBuy90¢504
12 hr. agoBuy10¢269
12 hr. agoBuy10¢121
12 hr. agoSell90¢56
12 hr. agoSell90¢50
12 hr. agoBuy10¢8
12 hr. agoBuy91¢272
12 hr. agoBuy9¢187
12 hr. agoSell91¢50
12 hr. agoSell91¢34
12 hr. agoBuy90¢8
12 hr. agoBuy10¢8
12 hr. agoSell90¢55
12 hr. agoSell10¢5
12 hr. agoSell10¢50
12 hr. agoBuy91¢16
12 hr. agoSell91¢16
12 hr. agoSell10¢550
12 hr. agoBuy10¢130
12 hr. agoBuy10¢300
12 hr. agoSell90¢50
12 hr. agoBuy10¢20
12 hr. agoBuy10¢50
13 hr. agoSell89¢24
13 hr. agoBuy89¢10
13 hr. agoBuy89¢14
13 hr. agoBuy90¢1,500
13 hr. agoBuy10¢383
13 hr. agoBuy10¢156
13 hr. agoBuy10¢150
13 hr. agoSell90¢50
13 hr. agoSell90¢678
13 hr. agoBuy10¢50
13 hr. agoSell90¢33
13 hr. agoSell10¢17
13 hr. agoSell90¢17
15 hr. agoBuy11¢91
15 hr. agoBuy89¢36
15 hr. agoBuy89¢55
15 hr. agoBuy89¢17
15 hr. agoBuy11¢17
15 hr. agoBuy11¢51
15 hr. agoBuy89¢51

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