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Updated 21 hr. ago

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

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16 %

chance

▼ −5.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 16¢No 85¢

France declares state of emergency by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$5.5K

24h vol.

$5.5K

1w vol.

$5.5K

1m vol.

$5.5K

Liquidity

$31.7K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 16¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Oct 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
23¢$300
22¢$379
21¢$316
20¢$85
17¢$100
15¢$285
13¢$250
8¢$65
7¢$71
6¢$83
Asks (sell)Size
24¢$647
25¢$103
26¢$100
27¢$50
39¢$5
48¢$10
79¢$10
80¢$10
82¢$10
83¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
22 hr. agoBuy24¢80
22 hr. agoBuy76¢17
22 hr. agoBuy76¢50
22 hr. agoSell24¢13
22 hr. agoBuy24¢193
22 hr. agoSell24¢50
22 hr. agoSell24¢143
22 hr. agoBuy77¢50
22 hr. agoSell77¢50
22 hr. agoBuy77¢50
22 hr. agoSell77¢50
22 hr. agoSell24¢100
22 hr. agoBuy24¢50
22 hr. agoBuy24¢50
22 hr. agoSell24¢50
22 hr. agoBuy24¢50
22 hr. agoBuy75¢100
22 hr. agoBuy25¢50
22 hr. agoSell75¢50
22 hr. agoBuy75¢50
22 hr. agoSell75¢50
22 hr. agoBuy74¢100
22 hr. agoBuy26¢50
22 hr. agoBuy26¢50
22 hr. agoSell75¢65
22 hr. agoBuy75¢15
22 hr. agoBuy75¢50
23 hr. agoBuy75¢50
23 hr. agoSell75¢50
23 hr. agoBuy74¢50
23 hr. agoBuy26¢50
23 hr. agoSell22¢6
23 hr. agoBuy22¢6
23 hr. agoBuy21¢192
23 hr. agoBuy78¢50
23 hr. agoSell22¢42
23 hr. agoBuy80¢100
23 hr. agoBuy18¢115
23 hr. agoBuy82¢50
23 hr. agoBuy82¢65
23 hr. agoSell17¢43
23 hr. agoBuy17¢43
23 hr. agoBuy20¢58
23 hr. agoBuy80¢50
23 hr. agoSell19¢8
23 hr. agoBuy23¢47
23 hr. agoSell23¢42
23 hr. agoSell23¢6
23 hr. agoBuy23¢44
23 hr. agoSell23¢44

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.