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Updated 3 hr. ago

France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?

France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?

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1 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$40.3K

24h vol.

$40.3K

1w vol.

$40.3K

1m vol.

$40.3K

Liquidity

$30.2K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 18, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$10
1¢$62
1¢$167
1¢$3,680
0¢$3,680
0¢$4,458
0¢$1,133
0¢$5,236
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$111
1¢$500
2¢$1,201
2¢$3,437
2¢$1,548
3¢$105
3¢$5
3¢$1,985
3¢$100
3¢$500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 hr. agoBuy1¢107
3 hr. agoSell1¢1
3 hr. agoSell1¢33
3 hr. agoSell1¢73
4 hr. agoBuy1¢129
4 hr. agoSell1¢14
4 hr. agoBuy99¢50
4 hr. agoSell1¢20
4 hr. agoSell1¢44
5 hr. agoSell1¢14,047
5 hr. agoBuy1¢298
5 hr. agoSell100¢12,378
5 hr. agoSell100¢50
5 hr. agoBuy1¢50
5 hr. agoBuy1¢350
5 hr. agoBuy1¢38
5 hr. agoSell99¢652
5 hr. agoBuy1¢112
5 hr. agoBuy1¢44
5 hr. agoBuy1¢33
5 hr. agoBuy1¢22
5 hr. agoBuy1¢20
6 hr. agoBuy1¢88
6 hr. agoBuy99¢22
6 hr. agoBuy99¢13
6 hr. agoSell1¢20
6 hr. agoSell1¢33
7 hr. agoBuy99¢53
7 hr. agoBuy1¢33
7 hr. agoBuy1¢20
7 hr. agoBuy1¢88
7 hr. agoBuy99¢35
7 hr. agoSell1¢20
7 hr. agoSell1¢33
8 hr. agoBuy99¢103
8 hr. agoBuy1¢33
8 hr. agoBuy1¢50
8 hr. agoBuy1¢20
9 hr. agoBuy1¢352
9 hr. agoBuy99¢352
11 hr. agoBuy99¢50
11 hr. agoBuy1¢50
12 hr. agoBuy2¢12,397
12 hr. agoBuy98¢3,524
12 hr. agoBuy98¢4,427
12 hr. agoBuy98¢19
12 hr. agoBuy98¢4,427
13 hr. agoBuy2¢1,392
13 hr. agoBuy98¢11
13 hr. agoSell2¢750

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