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Updated 5 days ago

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?
85 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 4.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 73% on Oct 20, 2026.
- Historically, 69% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% one day before the end resolved YES (3,064 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
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✦ AI assessment
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Ethereum above ___ on October 26?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$11.4K
24h vol.
$8K
1w vol.
$11.4K
1m vol.
$11.4K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Bid / Ask
84¢ / 85¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
85¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,064 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% one day before resolution, 69.1% resolved YES. That is 4.2 points less often than their average price of 73.3% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (4)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 23 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 75¢ | 45 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 73¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 74¢ | 37 |
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