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Updated 24 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
9 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 32.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 44% on Oct 24, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 36 buys, 14 sells; the largest was $1,000 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 16% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (1,369 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$31.7K
24h vol.
$29.4K
1w vol.
$32.2K
1m vol.
$32.2K
Liquidity
$8.1K
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
8¢
Start date
Oct 22, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,369 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 16.4% resolved YES. That is 6.7 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
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- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 31 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 121 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 62 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 242 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 4 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 10 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 11 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 51 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 220 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 25 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 15 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 13 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 65 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 400 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 1,070 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 49 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 23 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 89 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 73 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 332 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 90 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 363 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 23 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 44 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 31 |
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