← Dashboard · Crypto
Updated 27 min. ago
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?
22 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 17.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 84% on Oct 21, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $2.54K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 24% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (105 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Ethereum above ___ on October 26?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$27.8K
24h vol.
$25.7K
1w vol.
$27.8K
1m vol.
$27.8K
Liquidity
$32.9K
Bid / Ask
21¢ / 22¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
21¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 105 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% one day before resolution, 23.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 40 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 40 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 10 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 10 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 15 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 40 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 30 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 40 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 21 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 30 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 67 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 1 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 70 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 11 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 71 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 72 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 71 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 32 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 40 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 13 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 6 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 4,100 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 65 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 9,057 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 7 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 9,988 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 29 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 207 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 77 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 125 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 290 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 800 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 13 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 14 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 13 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 14 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 5 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 49¢ | 13 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?39 %▲ +3.0%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?6 %▼ −1.1%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?3 %▲ +0.2%
- Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?88 %▲ +37.0%
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?99 %▲ +0.7%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?3 %▼ −0.4%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.