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Updated 24 min. ago
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?
11 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 66.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 90% on Oct 29, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $7K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 12% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (128 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 16 hr. (Oct 30, 2026).
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$71.7K
24h vol.
$75.2K
1w vol.
$79.2K
1m vol.
$79.2K
Liquidity
$28.8K
Bid / Ask
10¢ / 12¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Oct 23, 2026
End date
Oct 30, 2026
ends in 16 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 128 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 11.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 8.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 2 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 60 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 7,389 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 81 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 15 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 98 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 16 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 273 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 11 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 24 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 76 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 31 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 678 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 2,812 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 227 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 65 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 4,383 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 328 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 289 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 3,621 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 10,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 29 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1,379 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 29 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 273 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 1,111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 8,216 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 24 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 104 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 3 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 591 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 10 |
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