Skip to content

← Dashboard · Crypto

Updated 19 min. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?

Crypto
Watch this market

36 %

chance

▼ −9.6%1h▼ −59.6%24h
Yes 36¢No 64¢

Market brief

  • Down 59.6 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 99% on Oct 29, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $457 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 55% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (147 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 15 hr. (Oct 30, 2026).

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?

11 outcomes

Total volume

$137.6K

24h vol.

$112.8K

1w vol.

$138.2K

1m vol.

$138.2K

Liquidity

$41.5K

Bid / Ask

35¢ / 37¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

33¢

Start date

Oct 23, 2026

End date

Oct 30, 2026

ends in 15 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 147 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 55.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
35¢$576
34¢$192
34¢$5
34¢$24
33¢$406
33¢$30
33¢$30
33¢$254
32¢$7,100
32¢$569
Asks (sell)Size
36¢$428
36¢$428
36¢$29
36¢$7,100
36¢$49
36¢$400
37¢$325
37¢$30
38¢$805
39¢$569

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
24 min. agoBuy37¢5
26 min. agoSell36¢5
27 min. agoSell35¢15
27 min. agoSell36¢16
29 min. agoBuy35¢5
30 min. agoSell34¢15
30 min. agoSell33¢15
30 min. agoBuy34¢5
32 min. agoSell30¢29
33 min. agoBuy35¢3
35 min. agoBuy37¢45
35 min. agoBuy36¢50
35 min. agoBuy35¢5
36 min. agoBuy34¢293
37 min. agoBuy35¢102
37 min. agoBuy34¢491
39 min. agoSell38¢16
42 min. agoBuy40¢200
42 min. agoBuy38¢156
43 min. agoBuy38¢1,200
44 min. agoSell33¢23
44 min. agoSell34¢49
44 min. agoSell36¢28
44 min. agoSell36¢48
44 min. agoSell36¢102
44 min. agoSell36¢5
44 min. agoSell36¢30
44 min. agoSell36¢80
45 min. agoBuy35¢708
46 min. agoBuy33¢228
47 min. agoBuy33¢165
49 min. agoBuy34¢30
50 min. agoBuy34¢80
52 min. agoSell34¢45
52 min. agoSell34¢50
52 min. agoBuy33¢205
53 min. agoSell37¢100
53 min. agoSell37¢400
53 min. agoBuy38¢400
54 min. agoSell36¢5
55 min. agoBuy37¢187
55 min. agoBuy37¢38
56 min. agoSell35¢17
57 min. agoSell38¢200
57 min. agoBuy38¢47
58 min. agoSell39¢4
58 min. agoBuy40¢50
59 min. agoSell39¢210
60 min. agoBuy42¢91
60 min. agoBuy40¢100

Related markets

The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.

Keep exploring

Moving today

Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.

Daily Forecast ChallengeThree real markets, one guess each — then see how you compare to the crowd and the AI.

More around this market