Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?

Market brief

• Down 7.9 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 100% on Oct 29, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 7 buys, 43 sells; the largest was $951 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 85% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before the end resolved YES (893 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 15 hr. (Oct 30, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 893 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before resolution, 85.0% resolved YES. That is 5.0 points less often than their average price of 90.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Related markets

The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.

• Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?100 %▲ +91.5%
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?10 %▼ −77.0%
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?2 %▼ −19.2%
• Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?100 %▲ +0.0%
• Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?100 %▲ +80.5%
• Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?100 %▲ +3.8%

Keep exploring