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Updated 19 min. ago

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys
51 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 2.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 67% on Oct 26, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 29 buys, 21 sells; the largest was $1.12K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 48% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (9,209 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 3, 2026).
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Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys
3 outcomes- Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner52 %
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.551 %
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys51 %
Total volume
$157.3K
24h vol.
$165.2K
1w vol.
$165.4K
1m vol.
$165.4K
Liquidity
$196.7K
Bid / Ask
50¢ / 51¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
48¢
Start date
Oct 25, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 9,209 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 9 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 31 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 96 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 58 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 305 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 5 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 3,056 |
| 24 min. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 1,068 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 3 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 27 |
| 26 min. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 138 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 769 |
| 26 min. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 3,187 |
| 27 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 5 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 5 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 18 |
| 27 min. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 913 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 5 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 2 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 323 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 59 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 10 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 30 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 5 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 137 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 58 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 14 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 60 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 2 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 15 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 2 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 67 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 2 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 200 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 46 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 3 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 24 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 14 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 10 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 440 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 30 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 200 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 5 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 10 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 30 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 3 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 19 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 3,457 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 1 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 400 |
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