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Updated 22 min. ago

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Crypto
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56 %

chance

▲ +6.0%1h▼ −22.5%24h
Yes 56¢No 44¢

Market brief

  • Down 22.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 89% on Oct 23, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $3.9K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 51% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (189 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 1, 2026).

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What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

21 outcomes

Total volume

$38.6K

24h vol.

$27.5K

1w vol.

$38.7K

1m vol.

$38.7K

Liquidity

$62.8K

Bid / Ask

56¢ / 57¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

57¢

Start date

Oct 22, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 189 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.6%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
51¢$656
50¢$12,564
49¢$2,895
48¢$5,354
47¢$1,600
46¢$50
45¢$155
44¢$10,050
43¢$50
42¢$597
Asks (sell)Size
52¢$83
53¢$685
54¢$3,409
55¢$15,885
56¢$105
57¢$165
58¢$10,050
59¢$50
60¢$50
61¢$50

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 38%Sells 62%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy48¢200
1 hr. agoSell47¢190
2 hr. agoBuy48¢83
2 hr. agoBuy44¢50
2 hr. agoBuy42¢65
2 hr. agoSell42¢735
2 hr. agoBuy46¢28
2 hr. agoSell45¢50
2 hr. agoBuy47¢82
2 hr. agoSell49¢5
2 hr. agoSell52¢137
2 hr. agoSell56¢219
2 hr. agoBuy58¢3,210
2 hr. agoBuy56¢110
2 hr. agoBuy57¢4
2 hr. agoBuy56¢10
2 hr. agoBuy55¢110
2 hr. agoBuy55¢182
2 hr. agoBuy56¢304
3 hr. agoSell56¢3
3 hr. agoSell55¢11
3 hr. agoBuy50¢110
3 hr. agoSell48¢10
3 hr. agoSell50¢100
3 hr. agoSell51¢620
3 hr. agoBuy53¢19
3 hr. agoSell56¢30
3 hr. agoBuy56¢5
3 hr. agoSell56¢5
3 hr. agoBuy53¢115
3 hr. agoBuy53¢5
3 hr. agoSell55¢46
3 hr. agoBuy57¢55
3 hr. agoBuy63¢79
6 hr. agoSell59¢10
6 hr. agoSell60¢8
7 hr. agoBuy59¢55
7 hr. agoBuy60¢250
7 hr. agoSell59¢800
8 hr. agoSell59¢12
8 hr. agoSell60¢601
8 hr. agoSell61¢10,000
8 hr. agoBuy61¢60
8 hr. agoSell63¢5
8 hr. agoSell63¢5
9 hr. agoBuy64¢1,565
9 hr. agoBuy64¢16
9 hr. agoBuy63¢55
9 hr. agoBuy63¢105
9 hr. agoBuy63¢1,535

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