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Updated 19 hr. ago

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Politics
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4 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▲ +0.2%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

California Governor Election Winner

23 outcomes
See all 23 outcomes

Total volume

$3.4M

24h vol.

$25.9K

1w vol.

$89.6K

1m vol.

$621.6K

Liquidity

$175.2K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 4¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Oct 9, 2025

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$947
4¢$1,245
4¢$389
3¢$205
2¢$60
2¢$1,500
2¢$241
2¢$294
1¢$231
1¢$248
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$3,885
4¢$19
4¢$1,238
4¢$3,930
4¢$75
5¢$400
5¢$17
5¢$302
5¢$2,197
5¢$344

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
22 hr. agoSell96¢204
22 hr. agoBuy96¢204
22 hr. agoBuy96¢6
22 hr. agoBuy4¢6
22 hr. agoBuy96¢6
22 hr. agoBuy4¢6
22 hr. agoBuy96¢6
22 hr. agoBuy4¢6
22 hr. agoBuy4¢26
22 hr. agoBuy96¢26
22 hr. agoBuy96¢6
22 hr. agoBuy4¢6
23 hr. agoBuy96¢6
23 hr. agoBuy4¢6
23 hr. agoBuy96¢7
23 hr. agoBuy4¢7
23 hr. agoBuy96¢4
23 hr. agoBuy4¢4
23 hr. agoBuy4¢26
23 hr. agoBuy96¢26
23 hr. agoBuy96¢11
23 hr. agoBuy4¢11
23 hr. agoBuy96¢8
23 hr. agoBuy4¢8
23 hr. agoBuy96¢5
23 hr. agoBuy4¢5
23 hr. agoBuy4¢26
23 hr. agoBuy96¢26
23 hr. agoBuy96¢12
23 hr. agoBuy4¢12
24 hr. agoBuy96¢526
24 hr. agoBuy4¢295
24 hr. agoBuy4¢231
1 day agoBuy96¢6
1 day agoBuy4¢6
1 day agoBuy96¢8
1 day agoBuy4¢8
1 day agoBuy96¢4
1 day agoBuy4¢4
1 day agoBuy96¢5
1 day agoBuy4¢5
1 day agoSell96¢2
1 day agoBuy96¢2
1 day agoBuy96¢3
1 day agoSell96¢3
1 day agoBuy4¢28
1 day agoBuy96¢28
1 day agoSell96¢7
1 day agoSell4¢7
1 day agoSell96¢805

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.