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Updated 1 day ago

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Politics
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96 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.2%24h▲ +0.3%1W
Yes 96¢No 4¢

California Governor Election Winner

23 outcomes
See all 23 outcomes

Total volume

$2.2M

24h vol.

$19.7K

1w vol.

$79.9K

1m vol.

$222.8K

Liquidity

$88.4K

Bid / Ask

96¢ / 96¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

96¢

Start date

Oct 9, 2025

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
96¢$63
96¢$2,000
95¢$1,602
95¢$11,893
95¢$500
95¢$600
95¢$50
95¢$500
94¢$500
94¢$1,111
Asks (sell)Size
96¢$240
96¢$204
96¢$1,464
97¢$1,210
97¢$3,000
97¢$3,702
97¢$22,286
97¢$205
97¢$500
97¢$1,790

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 77%Sells 23%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell4¢50
1 day agoSell96¢5
1 day agoSell96¢5
1 day agoSell96¢5
1 day agoSell96¢6
1 day agoSell96¢5
1 day agoSell96¢5
1 day agoSell96¢6
1 day agoSell96¢6
1 day agoSell96¢6
1 day agoSell4¢500
1 day agoBuy4¢450
1 day agoBuy4¢50
1 day agoSell4¢355
1 day agoBuy4¢355
1 day agoSell4¢276
1 day agoBuy4¢245
1 day agoBuy4¢31
1 day agoBuy96¢19
1 day agoBuy4¢19
1 day agoSell4¢83
1 day agoBuy4¢50
1 day agoBuy4¢33
1 day agoBuy5¢3
1 day agoBuy95¢3
1 day agoSell4¢52
1 day agoSell96¢52
1 day agoBuy5¢22
1 day agoBuy95¢22
1 day agoBuy5¢24
1 day agoBuy95¢24
1 day agoBuy5¢220
1 day agoBuy95¢93
1 day agoBuy95¢127
1 day agoBuy5¢249
1 day agoBuy95¢249
1 day agoBuy5¢54
1 day agoBuy95¢54
1 day agoBuy5¢20
1 day agoBuy95¢20
1 day agoBuy5¢57
1 day agoBuy95¢57
1 day agoBuy5¢21
1 day agoBuy95¢21
1 day agoBuy5¢25
1 day agoBuy95¢25
1 day agoBuy5¢600
1 day agoBuy95¢600
1 day agoBuy5¢450
1 day agoBuy95¢450

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