Updated 3 days ago
Market brief
- Up 12.0 pp over the past week, after dipping to 37% on Nov 7, 2026.
- Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,441 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
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✦ AI assessment
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Patriots vs. Lions
20 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
- Super BowlUpcoming dates, live prices and how accurate these markets have been
- Game page: New England Patriots at Detroit Lions — schedule, venue and AI match scan
- NFL: schedule and season markets
- The NFL season and the Super BowlResearch library · Sports
- Kalshi vs sportsbooks: what actually differsGuide
Total volume
$20.2K
24h vol.
$183.491
Liquidity
$52.9K
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 3 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$20.2K
Bid / Ask
53¢ / 54¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
55¢
Start date
Oct 27, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (5)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 113 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 921 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 53¢ | 55 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 53¢ | 1,223 |
Rules & resolution
In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Lions, scheduled for November 15 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions" if the Lions win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Event:
- Patriots vs. Lions
- Resolution source:
- https://www.nfl.com/scores
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