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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

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0 %

chance

▼ −5.3%24h▼ −3.7%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 4%.

Among 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 98% of the time — the expected outcome.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

Total volume

$2M

24h vol.

$1.5M

1w vol.

$1.7M

1m vol.

$1.7M

Liquidity

$378.6K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2025

End date

Apr 1, 2027

trading closed

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$338,215
0¢$587
1¢$25,077
1¢$50,000
2¢$153
2¢$5,000
30¢$777
30¢$305
30¢$406
33¢$146

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 96%Sells 4%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 wk. agoBuy100¢1,000
1 wk. agoSell100¢4
1 wk. agoBuy100¢4
1 wk. agoSell100¢27
1 wk. agoBuy100¢27
1 wk. agoSell100¢7
1 wk. agoBuy100¢7
1 wk. agoSell100¢1
1 wk. agoBuy100¢1
1 wk. agoSell100¢2,167
1 wk. agoBuy100¢2,167
1 wk. agoSell100¢37
1 wk. agoBuy100¢37
1 wk. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 wk. agoBuy100¢1,000
1 wk. agoSell100¢45
1 wk. agoBuy100¢45
1 wk. agoSell100¢43
1 wk. agoBuy100¢43
1 wk. agoSell100¢95
1 wk. agoBuy100¢95
1 wk. agoSell100¢167
1 wk. agoBuy100¢167
1 wk. agoBuy0¢5,000
1 wk. agoBuy100¢5,000
1 wk. agoSell100¢1,138
1 wk. agoBuy100¢1,138
1 wk. agoSell100¢1
1 wk. agoBuy100¢1
1 wk. agoSell100¢10
1 wk. agoBuy100¢10
1 wk. agoSell100¢1,079
1 wk. agoBuy100¢1,079
1 wk. agoSell100¢37
1 wk. agoBuy100¢37
1 wk. agoBuy0¢3,040
1 wk. agoBuy100¢3,040
1 wk. agoSell100¢4
1 wk. agoBuy100¢4
1 wk. agoBuy0¢100
1 wk. agoBuy100¢100
1 wk. agoBuy0¢52,074
1 wk. agoBuy100¢20,075
1 wk. agoBuy100¢11,111
1 wk. agoSell0¢258
1 wk. agoSell0¢10
1 wk. agoBuy100¢5,000
1 wk. agoBuy100¢40
1 wk. agoBuy100¢5,000

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