Updated 1 wk. ago
Spread: Illinois (-6.5)
27 %
Illinois
Market brief
- Down 23.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 50% on Nov 3, 2026.
- Historically, 32% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (4,989 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 14, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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✦ AI assessment
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Illinois vs. UCLA
30 outcomes- O/U 39.568 %
- Spread -5.563 %
- Spread -7.556 %
- Spread -8.555 %
- O/U 45.553 %
- O/U 47.553 %
- O/U 35.550 %
- Spread -3.550 %
- Spread -17.550 %
- Spread -20.550 %
- Spread -6.550 %
- Spread -10.548 %
- O/U 49.546 %
- O/U 51.542 %
- Spread -14.537 %
- Spread -17.535 %
- O/U 57.528 %
- Spread -6.527 %
- Spread -20.526 %
- Illinois vs. UCLA23 %
- Spread -2.519 %
- O/U 63.517 %
- Spread -3.516 %
- Spread -4.514 %
- Spread -5.513 %
- Spread -14.510 %
- Spread -7.59 %
- O/U 69.58 %
- Spread -10.55 %
- Spread -13.54 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$98.409
Liquidity
$98.409
End date
Nov 14, 2026
ends in 1 day
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Start date
Nov 2, 2026
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0xcdc616be1bea0596496b14142a93fe43a60cbab2a9c025f94a1dd8b077e034d6&limit=50&takerOnly=true
Rules & resolution
In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and UCLA, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UCLA". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Event:
- Illinois vs. UCLA
- Resolution source:
- https://www.ncaa.com/
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