Updated 6 days ago
Spread: SMU (-2.5)
47 %
SMU
Market brief
- Down 3.5 pp over the past week, after dipping to 35% on Nov 6, 2026.
- Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,441 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 14, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your probability for SMU before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
Result by email
Find out how it ends
One email when this market resolves. No account needed.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Wake Forest vs. SMU
33 outcomes- O/U 41.591 %
- O/U 47.579 %
- O/U 55.574 %
- O/U 53.569 %
- O/U 45.566 %
- O/U 57.560 %
- O/U 59.553 %
- O/U 35.550 %
- Spread -8.550 %
- Spread -8.550 %
- Spread -5.550 %
- Spread -6.550 %
- Spread -20.550 %
- Spread -14.550 %
- Spread -1.549 %
- Wake Forest vs. SMU49 %
- Spread -0.548 %
- Spread -1.548 %
- Spread -2.547 %
- Spread -2.545 %
- O/U 63.542 %
- Spread -3.542 %
- Spread -3.541 %
- O/U 65.537 %
- Spread -10.535 %
- Spread -20.535 %
- Spread -16.528 %
- Spread -6.527 %
- O/U 71.527 %
- Spread -13.517 %
- Spread -17.517 %
- Spread -14.516 %
- Spread -17.515 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$42.4K
Liquidity
$42.4K
End date
Nov 14, 2026
ends in 2 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
46¢ / 47¢
Spread 1¢
Start date
Nov 2, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 98¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0xf0345897efa4131d3e1f8f54d945bd0aebe297e2014626e94beb527ead741402&limit=50&takerOnly=true
Rules & resolution
In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and SMU, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wake Forest". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Event:
- Wake Forest vs. SMU
- Resolution source:
- https://www.ncaa.com/
Related markets
Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.
- Tirante vs Shevchenko — Aleksandr Shevchenko33 %▲ +0.0%
- UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)37 %▲ +0.0%
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko75 %▲ +0.0%
- Italy vs France — France49 %▼ −2.0%
- Washington vs New York G — New York G56 %▼ −1.0%
- Commanders vs. Giants46 %▲ +2.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.