Updated 4 days ago

Spread: Cincinnati (-1.5)

SportsCFB (All)cfbGames

44 %

Cincinnati

▼ −5.5%24h

Cincinnati 44¢Iowa State 56¢

Watch this market

Market brief

Down 5.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 71% on Nov 8, 2026.
Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,441 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 14, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your probability for Cincinnati before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%

Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

Result by email

Find out how it ends

One email when this market resolves. No account needed.

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

Cincinnati vs. Iowa State

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$8.3K

Liquidity

$8.3K

End date

Nov 14, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

See plans · 7 days for $3

Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

42¢ / 46¢

Spread 4¢

Start date

Nov 2, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢

Bids (buy)Size

41¢$1,000

40¢$5,000

39¢$1,000

21¢$2,384

20¢$501

19¢$502

Asks (sell)Size

47¢$1,000

48¢$5,000

49¢$1,000

60¢$501

61¢$502

72¢$2,248

73¢$136

74¢$87

78¢$140

79¢$89

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades

No trades were found for this market.

Rules & resolution

In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and Iowa State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iowa State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event:: Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
Resolution source:: https://www.ncaa.com/

Related markets

Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring

Moving today

Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.

Daily Forecast ChallengeThree real markets, one guess each — then see how you compare to the crowd and the AI.