Updated 4 days ago
Spread: California (-14.5)
50 %
California
Market brief
- Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,441 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 14, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
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✦ AI assessment
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California vs. Virginia
27 outcomes- Spread -1.573 %
- Spread -6.562 %
- Spread -7.556 %
- O/U 45.555 %
- Spread -8.555 %
- Spread -5.550 %
- O/U 37.550 %
- O/U 39.550 %
- O/U 35.550 %
- Spread -4.550 %
- Spread -7.550 %
- Spread -17.550 %
- Spread -14.550 %
- Spread -20.550 %
- Spread -16.550 %
- O/U 47.549 %
- Spread -10.549 %
- Spread -13.546 %
- O/U 49.543 %
- Spread -14.542 %
- Spread -16.542 %
- Spread -2.523 %
- California vs. Virginia22 %
- Spread -3.520 %
- Spread -1.520 %
- Spread -10.516 %
- Spread -13.53 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$1
Liquidity
$1
End date
Nov 14, 2026
ends in 2 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Start date
Nov 2, 2026
No active orderbook is currently available for this market.
Recent trades
No trades were found for this market.
Rules & resolution
In the upcoming college football game between California and Virginia, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Virginia". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Event:
- California vs. Virginia
- Resolution source:
- https://www.ncaa.com/
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