Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 9 outcomes · $352.7K traded · updated 9 hr. ago
Resolves Oct 19, 2026
40-64 leads at 55 % · biggest 24h move: 40-64 +30.0 pp
Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026??
- 40-64 is the current favourite at 55 %, ahead of 8 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Related events
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Harry Kane68 %19 outcomes$47.4MMLB: 2026 NL MVPPete Crow-Armstrong99 %8 outcomes$1.1MOscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerThe Odyssey47 %27 outcomes$419.2KPro Football: 2026 MVP WinnerJosh Allen30 %29 outcomes$1.3MNext James Bond actor?No Bond chosen36 %24 outcomes$1.5M#2 Spotify Song 2026Babydoll – Dominic Fike91 %14 outcomes$126.3K
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.