Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 27 outcomes · $417.5K traded · updated 6 hr. ago
Resolves Jul 1, 2027
The Odyssey leads at 47 % · biggest 24h move: You Can See Everything +1.8 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1The Odyssey47 %▼ −1.5%$166.3K
- 2La Bola Negra19 %▲ +0.5%$24.1K
- 3You Can See Everything17 %▲ +1.8%$18.7K
- 4Dune: Part Three10 %▲ +0.5%$30.8K
- 5Digger4 %▼ −0.4%$25.9K
- 6Wild Horse Nine2 %▼ −0.2%$19.8K
- 7Fjord1 %—$11.1K
- 8Project Hail Mary1 %▼ −0.3%$10K
- 9The Invite1 %▼ −0.3%$9.5K
- 10The Social Reckoning1 %▲ +0.4%$9K
- 11The Debut1 %▼ −0.1%$10.6K
- 12Elsinore0 %▼ −0.2%$167.13
Show all 27 outcomesShow fewer
- 13Josephine0 %▲ +0.2%$9.6K
- 14I Play Rocky0 %▲ +0.1%$3.8K
- 15Artificial0 %▲ +0.1%$3.9K
- 16Behemoth!0 %▼ −0.2%$10.1K
- 17Tony0 %▲ +0.1%$8.2K
- 18The Drama0 %—$6.7K
- 19Obsession0 %—$4K
- 20The Adventures of Cliff Booth0 %▼ −0.1%$9K
- 21Saturn Return0 %—$6.8K
- 22Fatherland0 %▼ −0.1%$1.4K
- 23All of a Sudden0 %—$7.9K
- 24Clarissa0 %▼ −0.1%$1.4K
- 25Disclosure Day0 %▼ −0.1%$3K
- 26Michael0 %▼ −0.1%$4.3K
- 27Avengers: Doomsday0 %—$1.6K
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner?
- The Odyssey is the current favourite at 47 %, ahead of 26 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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