Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 30 outcomes · $78.8K traded · updated 9 hr. ago
Resolves Oct 27, 2026
260-279 leads at 12 % · biggest 24h move: 260-279 +2.0 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1260-27912 %▲ +2.0%$1.4K
- 2220-23911 %▲ +1.5%$842.213
- 3240-25911 %▲ +1.5%$1.6K
- 4280-29910 %▲ +0.5%$1.4K
- 5200-2199 %▲ +0.5%$3.3K
- 6300-3199 %—$517.966
- 7320-3398 %▼ −1.0%$1.2K
- 8340-3597 %▼ −0.5%$1.6K
- 9180-1996 %▲ +1.0%$1.6K
- 10360-3795 %▼ −1.5%$1.1K
- 11380-3994 %▼ −0.8%$548.513
- 12400-4194 %▼ −1.4%$1K
Show all 30 outcomesShow fewer
- 13160-1793 %▼ −0.3%$820.674
- 14420-4393 %▼ −0.3%$963.084
- 15440-4592 %▼ −0.3%$1K
- 16140-1592 %▲ +0.1%$1.1K
- 17460-4792 %▼ −0.5%$2.2K
- 18480-4992 %▼ −0.4%$3.6K
- 19120-1391 %▲ +0.4%$3.1K
- 20500-5191 %▼ −0.4%$6K
- 21100-1190 %▼ −0.1%$786.93
- 22540-5590 %▼ −0.2%$5.4K
- 23520-5390 %▼ −0.2%$6.7K
- 24560-5790 %▼ −0.1%$5.5K
- 25580+0 %▼ −0.2%$7.8K
- 2680-990 %▼ −0.2%$16.2K
- 27<200 %—$0.01
- 2820-390 %—$0.01
- 2940-590 %—$0.01
- 3060-790 %▼ −0.3%$1.5K
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026??
- 260-279 is the current favourite at 12 %, ahead of 29 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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