Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Oct 8, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?96¢▲ +94.5%2
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions12¢▼ −87.9%3Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%4Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%5Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%6Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?86¢▲ +77.5%
Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo?96¢▲ +94.5%2KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions12¢▼ −87.9%3Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%4Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%5Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%6Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?86¢▲ +77.5%Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Market 14%AI 59%-44 pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Market 43%AI 61%-18 pp gap
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 36%AI 18%+18 pp gap
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Market 37%AI 27%+9 pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Market 43%AI 61%-18 pp gapWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 36%AI 18%+18 pp gapWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Market 37%AI 27%+9 pp gapBiggest coin moves
The largest 24-hour price swings among the coins in our crypto hub.
Fresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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