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Updated 27 min. ago

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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47 %

chance

▼ −0.9%24h▲ +7.0%1W
Yes 47¢No 53¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$4.1M

24h vol.

$70.8K

1w vol.

$532.7K

1m vol.

$1.5M

Liquidity

$792.2K

Bid / Ask

47¢ / 47¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

47¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
47¢$798
47¢$2,934
47¢$320
46¢$676
46¢$1,220
46¢$4,100
46¢$10,000
46¢$182
46¢$3,193
46¢$679
Asks (sell)Size
47¢$11,325
47¢$340
47¢$490
47¢$320
48¢$1,939
48¢$141,591
48¢$10,835
48¢$287
48¢$799
48¢$133,015

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 66%Sells 34%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
43 min. agoBuy53¢100
43 min. agoBuy47¢66
43 min. agoBuy47¢5
43 min. agoBuy47¢21
43 min. agoSell53¢8
43 min. agoBuy53¢100
43 min. agoSell53¢100
43 min. agoBuy53¢100
43 min. agoSell53¢74
43 min. agoSell53¢26
44 min. agoBuy53¢108
44 min. agoSell53¢64
44 min. agoSell53¢44
46 min. agoBuy47¢21
46 min. agoSell47¢21
1 hr. agoBuy47¢64
1 hr. agoSell47¢64
1 hr. agoBuy47¢2,000
1 hr. agoSell47¢2,000
1 hr. agoBuy53¢19
1 hr. agoSell53¢11
1 hr. agoSell53¢8
2 hr. agoBuy53¢2
2 hr. agoSell53¢2
2 hr. agoBuy47¢21
2 hr. agoSell47¢21
2 hr. agoBuy47¢1,000
2 hr. agoSell47¢1,000
2 hr. agoSell53¢1,226
2 hr. agoSell47¢933
2 hr. agoSell47¢21
2 hr. agoBuy53¢90
2 hr. agoBuy53¢182
3 hr. agoBuy47¢55
3 hr. agoBuy53¢55
3 hr. agoBuy47¢11
3 hr. agoSell47¢11
3 hr. agoBuy48¢75
3 hr. agoBuy52¢75
3 hr. agoBuy53¢3,764
3 hr. agoBuy47¢2,176
3 hr. agoBuy47¢530
3 hr. agoBuy47¢26
3 hr. agoBuy47¢20
3 hr. agoSell53¢10
3 hr. agoBuy47¢100
3 hr. agoBuy47¢100
3 hr. agoBuy47¢453
3 hr. agoBuy47¢21
3 hr. agoSell53¢90

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