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Updated 2 days ago

Iran leadership change by October 31?

Iran leadership change by October 31?

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2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Iran leadership change by...?

4 outcomes

Total volume

$676K

24h vol.

$9.4K

1w vol.

$118K

1m vol.

$573.5K

Liquidity

$63.6K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$25
2¢$24
2¢$189
2¢$3,100
1¢$270
1¢$23
1¢$21,236
1¢$3,840
1¢$20,023
1¢$14,444
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$1,176
3¢$15
3¢$100
3¢$1,072
3¢$2,100
4¢$10
4¢$100
5¢$2,000
6¢$97
7¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 77%Sells 23%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy2¢42
2 days agoSell2¢42
2 days agoBuy2¢1,264
2 days agoSell2¢1,018
2 days agoSell2¢160
2 days agoSell2¢45
2 days agoBuy98¢20
2 days agoSell2¢20
2 days agoBuy98¢20
2 days agoBuy2¢20
3 days agoBuy98¢399
3 days agoSell98¢100
3 days agoBuy2¢299
3 days agoBuy2¢436
3 days agoSell2¢416
3 days agoSell2¢20
3 days agoBuy98¢951
3 days agoBuy2¢10
3 days agoSell98¢300
3 days agoBuy3¢576
3 days agoBuy3¢5
3 days agoBuy3¢40
3 days agoBuy3¢10
3 days agoBuy3¢10
3 days agoSell3¢77
3 days agoBuy3¢17
3 days agoBuy3¢10
3 days agoBuy3¢30
3 days agoBuy3¢20
3 days agoSell3¢7,000
3 days agoBuy3¢6,859
3 days agoSell97¢51
3 days agoBuy3¢10
3 days agoSell97¢30
3 days agoBuy3¢40
3 days agoBuy3¢10
3 days agoBuy6¢77
3 days agoBuy94¢47
3 days agoBuy94¢30
3 days agoBuy7¢15
3 days agoBuy93¢5
3 days agoBuy93¢10
3 days agoBuy98¢1
3 days agoBuy2¢1
3 days agoBuy98¢1
3 days agoBuy2¢1
3 days agoBuy98¢1
3 days agoBuy2¢1
3 days agoBuy4¢19,550
3 days agoBuy92¢476

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