← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 4 days ago
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Other
40 %
chance
▲ +0.0%24h▲ +9.0%1W
Yes 40¢No 61¢
Iran leadership change by...?
5 outcomes- June 30, 202740 %
- December 3121 %
- September 3010 %
- August 314 %
- July 311 %
Total volume
$99.9K
24h vol.
$1.9K
1w vol.
$37.5K
1m vol.
$99.9K
Liquidity
$47.7K
Bid / Ask
39¢ / 40¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
39¢
Start date
Jun 29, 2026
End date
Jun 30, 2027
ends in 11 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
40¢$113
39¢$7,447
38¢$2,163
37¢$350
36¢$50
35¢$76
34¢$136
33¢$400
32¢$25
31¢$26
Asks (sell)Size
41¢$15
42¢$266
43¢$173
44¢$13
45¢$34
47¢$100
48¢$269
49¢$5
57¢$5
58¢$250
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 70%Sells 30%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 59¢ | 83 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 83 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 578 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 83 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 495 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 52 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 52 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 350 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 350 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 60¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 61¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 26 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 8 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 0 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 61¢ | 8 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 8 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 9 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 59¢ | 33 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 16 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 41¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 41¢ | 7 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 13 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 19 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 13 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 39¢ | 25 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 39¢ | 16 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 60¢ | 7 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 23 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 23 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 40¢ | 23 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 40¢ | 23 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 25 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 41¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 59¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.