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Updated 3 days ago

Iran leadership change by November 30?

Iran leadership change by November 30?

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7 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 7¢No 94¢

Iran leadership change by...?

4 outcomes

Total volume

$219.9K

24h vol.

$3.5K

1w vol.

$63.4K

1m vol.

$173.2K

Liquidity

$106.5K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$10,586
5¢$19,098
4¢$77,658
3¢$216,684
2¢$143,813
1¢$16,960
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$6,152
8¢$31,611
9¢$41,286
10¢$866
11¢$635
13¢$247
15¢$1,006
24¢$469
29¢$1,000
34¢$1,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 43%Sells 57%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoSell93¢110
3 days agoSell7¢110
3 days agoBuy7¢10,000
3 days agoSell7¢2,565
3 days agoSell7¢7,435
3 days agoBuy94¢5
3 days agoBuy6¢5
3 days agoBuy7¢476
3 days agoSell7¢276
3 days agoBuy93¢200
3 days agoBuy94¢20
3 days agoBuy6¢20
3 days agoBuy6¢2,090
3 days agoBuy94¢225
3 days agoBuy94¢200
3 days agoBuy94¢187
3 days agoBuy94¢213
3 days agoBuy94¢214
3 days agoBuy94¢245
3 days agoBuy94¢216
3 days agoBuy94¢5
3 days agoBuy94¢200
3 days agoBuy94¢130
3 days agoBuy94¢132
3 days agoBuy94¢124
3 days agoBuy6¢350
3 days agoSell6¢350
4 days agoSell6¢936
4 days agoSell94¢200
4 days agoSell94¢200
4 days agoBuy6¢66
4 days agoBuy6¢120
4 days agoBuy6¢145
4 days agoBuy6¢150
4 days agoSell94¢54
4 days agoBuy94¢21
4 days agoSell94¢21
4 days agoBuy94¢22
4 days agoSell94¢22
4 days agoSell94¢394
4 days agoBuy94¢394
4 days agoBuy6¢40
4 days agoBuy94¢40
4 days agoBuy6¢40
4 days agoBuy94¢40
4 days agoSell6¢9,972
4 days agoBuy6¢474
4 days agoBuy6¢200
4 days agoBuy6¢167
4 days agoBuy6¢128

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Related markets

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