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Updated 5 days ago

Will Napoli reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?

Sports
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32 %

chance

▲ +2.5%1h▼ −6.0%24h▼ −6.5%1W
Yes 32¢No 68¢

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16

30 outcomes

Total volume

$305.028

24h vol.

$187.9

1w vol.

$232.9

1m vol.

$302.9

Liquidity

$1.9K

Bid / Ask

28¢ / 36¢

Spread 8¢

Last trade

27¢

Start date

Sep 2, 2026

End date

Feb 28, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
27¢$807
26¢$158
20¢$500
17¢$200
14¢$200
11¢$200
10¢$250
9¢$435
8¢$300
7¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
32¢$90
37¢$120
39¢$100
41¢$100
43¢$100
45¢$100
48¢$100
50¢$100
53¢$100
55¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (34)

Buys 96%Sells 4%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell27¢16
5 days agoBuy27¢16
6 days agoSell27¢4
6 days agoBuy27¢4
6 days agoSell31¢4
6 days agoBuy31¢4
6 days agoBuy63¢20
6 days agoBuy36¢4
6 days agoBuy37¢16
6 days agoBuy63¢100
6 days agoBuy37¢16
6 days agoBuy37¢20
6 days agoBuy37¢24
6 days agoBuy37¢20
6 days agoBuy37¢20
6 days agoBuy64¢16
6 days agoBuy36¢16
6 days agoBuy73¢20
6 days agoBuy27¢20
6 days agoBuy63¢24
6 days agoBuy37¢4
6 days agoBuy37¢20
7 days agoBuy39¢5
7 days agoBuy61¢5
1 wk. agoBuy39¢40
1 wk. agoBuy61¢40
3 wk. agoBuy39¢30
3 wk. agoBuy61¢30
4 wk. agoBuy39¢10
4 wk. agoBuy61¢10
4 wk. agoBuy39¢30
4 wk. agoBuy61¢30
1 mo. agoBuy47¢2
1 mo. agoBuy53¢2

◆ Smart money

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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