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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?

Sports
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37 %

chance

▲ +1.5%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 37¢No 63¢

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16

30 outcomes

Total volume

$1.2K

24h vol.

$123.884

1w vol.

$821.137

1m vol.

$861.127

Liquidity

$2.8K

Bid / Ask

36¢ / 38¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

37¢

Start date

Sep 2, 2026

End date

Feb 28, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
38¢$939
37¢$2,312
36¢$501
35¢$470
3¢$26
2¢$80
1¢$119
Asks (sell)Size
39¢$735
40¢$362
41¢$583
42¢$341
43¢$40
44¢$100
45¢$100
47¢$100
90¢$21
97¢$26

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (24)

Buys 91%Sells 9%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy39¢34
4 wk. agoBuy61¢34
4 wk. agoBuy39¢6
4 wk. agoBuy61¢6
1 mo. agoSell61¢20
1 mo. agoBuy61¢20
1 mo. agoBuy39¢20
1 mo. agoBuy61¢20
1 mo. agoSell62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoSell62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy38¢132
1 mo. agoBuy62¢12
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢100
1 mo. agoBuy38¢3
1 mo. agoBuy62¢3
1 mo. agoBuy37¢20
1 mo. agoBuy63¢20
1 mo. agoBuy43¢34
1 mo. agoBuy57¢34
1 mo. agoBuy43¢26
1 mo. agoBuy57¢26

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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