← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 4 wk. ago
Will RB Leipzig reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
30 %
chance
UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16
30 outcomes- Arsenal98 %
- Paris Saint-Germain95 %
- Bayern Munich94 %
- Barcelona91 %
- Liverpool88 %
- Atlético Madrid66 %
- Borussia Dortmund63 %
- VfB Stuttgart61 %
- Sporting CP60 %
- Inter Milan57 %
- Aston Villa57 %
- Real Betis56 %
- Manchester United50 %
- Porto44 %
- Roma37 %
- Como35 %
- Villarreal35 %
- Napoli32 %
- RB Leipzig30 %
- Lens27 %
- Feyenoord24 %
- Galatasaray22 %
- Bodø/Glimt20 %
- AEK Athens13 %
- Fenerbahçe13 %
- Club Brugge12 %
- Viking7 %
- Slovan Bratislava6 %
- LASK3 %
- Sabah3 %
Total volume
$2.9K
24h vol.
$287.53
1w vol.
$2.6K
1m vol.
$2.6K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Bid / Ask
29¢ / 31¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
29¢
Start date
Sep 2, 2026
End date
Feb 28, 2027
ends in 4 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (11)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 188 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 118 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
◆ Underlying asset
How far is the move, really?
Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.
Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature
See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.