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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Porto reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?

Sports
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44 %

chance

▼ −2.0%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 44¢No 56¢

Total volume

$619.641

24h vol.

$278.27

1w vol.

$290.44

1m vol.

$619.641

Liquidity

$1.6K

Bid / Ask

43¢ / 44¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

44¢

Start date

Sep 2, 2026

End date

Feb 28, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
44¢$120
42¢$540
39¢$100
38¢$20
29¢$20
19¢$200
18¢$200
17¢$200
16¢$200
15¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
46¢$40
65¢$200
67¢$200
69¢$200
73¢$200
75¢$200
77¢$200
79¢$200
82¢$200
84¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (16)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell55¢20
4 wk. agoBuy55¢20
4 wk. agoBuy45¢20
4 wk. agoBuy55¢20
4 wk. agoSell55¢20
4 wk. agoBuy55¢20
4 wk. agoSell55¢20
4 wk. agoBuy55¢20
4 wk. agoBuy37¢20
4 wk. agoBuy63¢20
4 wk. agoBuy35¢105
4 wk. agoBuy64¢5
4 wk. agoBuy65¢40
4 wk. agoBuy65¢20
4 wk. agoBuy65¢20
4 wk. agoBuy65¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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