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Updated 5 days ago

Will Villarreal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?

SportsUCLuclSoccersoccer
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35 %

chance

▼ −1.5%1h▼ −4.0%24h▲ +6.0%1W
Yes 35¢No 66¢

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16

30 outcomes

Total volume

$2K

24h vol.

$758.467

1w vol.

$1.7K

1m vol.

$1.8K

Liquidity

$2.8K

Bid / Ask

33¢ / 36¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

36¢

Start date

Sep 2, 2026

End date

Feb 28, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
35¢$354
34¢$215
33¢$5
32¢$20
27¢$421
15¢$100
14¢$150
13¢$220
12¢$200
11¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
36¢$40
37¢$252
38¢$140
39¢$275
42¢$100
44¢$100
45¢$100
46¢$100
47¢$100
48¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (36)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 days agoBuy38¢5
6 days agoBuy62¢5
6 days agoBuy39¢5
6 days agoSell39¢5
6 days agoSell62¢5
6 days agoBuy62¢5
6 days agoSell65¢5
6 days agoBuy65¢5
6 days agoBuy35¢5
6 days agoBuy65¢5
6 days agoBuy39¢200
6 days agoBuy61¢200
6 days agoBuy27¢20
6 days agoBuy73¢20
6 days agoBuy72¢5
6 days agoSell72¢5
3 wk. agoSell28¢18
3 wk. agoBuy28¢18
3 wk. agoBuy29¢30
3 wk. agoBuy71¢30
1 mo. agoSell71¢6
1 mo. agoBuy71¢6
1 mo. agoSell75¢20
1 mo. agoBuy75¢20
1 mo. agoBuy28¢18
1 mo. agoBuy71¢7
1 mo. agoBuy72¢5
1 mo. agoBuy72¢6
1 mo. agoBuy19¢80
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢60
1 mo. agoSell81¢40
1 mo. agoBuy81¢40
1 mo. agoBuy18¢60
1 mo. agoBuy82¢40
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

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