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Updated 11 hr. ago

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
0 %
chance
Largest Company end of October 2026?
9 outcomesTotal volume
$23.4K
24h vol.
$5.6K
1w vol.
$5.6K
1m vol.
$10.1K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 1, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,590 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,590 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 23 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 52 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 37 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 60 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 60 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 64 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 64 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 215 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 215 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 16 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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