Updated 1 mo. ago

U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
51 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 19.9 pp over the past week (+20.1 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 24% on Oct 7, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $75 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 48% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (126 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Total volume
$5.6K
24h vol.
$115.993
Liquidity
$528.33
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$387.845
1m vol.
$5.6K
Bid / Ask
31¢ / 72¢
Spread 41¢
Last trade
31¢
Start date
Oct 6, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 181 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 164 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 33 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Protect College Sports Act, or any other "qualifying bill" under the provision listed below becomes federal law in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The Protect College Sports Act refers to the bill of that name which passed the Senate on September 28, 2026. An amended version of the Protect College Sports Act that is enacted will qualify regardless of whether it counts as a "qualifying bill" under the provision below. For purposes of this market, a "qualifying bill" is any federal legislation that establishes nationwide standards governing the name, image, and likeness (NIL) compensation of collegiate student athletes. A qualifying bill must limit or otherwise override the ability of the NCAA, athletic conferences, or similar intercollegiate athletic associations to restrict NIL compensation, and must modify the application of federal antitrust law with regard to college athletics (for example, by providing a limited antitrust exemption). A bill qualifies regardless of its title, bill number, sponsor, or chamber of origin, and regardless of any amendments made during passage, so long as the version that becomes law contains both elements listed above. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government information (e.g., Congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
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