Updated 3 mo. ago
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
3 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 14 buys, 36 sells; the largest was $570 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (614 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Total volume
$669.8K
24h vol.
$1.3K
Liquidity
$29.3K
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$4.5K
1m vol.
$32.3K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Nov 24, 2025
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 470 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 470 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 480 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 480 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 485 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 485 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 460 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 460 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 465 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 465 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 450 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 450 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 971 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 516 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 455 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 971 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 494 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 477 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 965 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 332 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 633 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 965 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 444 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 521 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 465 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 465 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 475 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 465 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 465 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 470 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Event:
- Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
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