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Updated 7 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

4 %

chance

▲ +2.6%1h▼ −28.1%24h
Yes 4¢No 96¢
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Market brief

  • Down 28.1 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 41% on Nov 13, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 36 buys, 14 sells; the largest was $524 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (843 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

10 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$32.3K

24h vol.

$29.8K

Liquidity

$6.9K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$32.3K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$200
3¢$120
3¢$100
3¢$100
3¢$6
3¢$100
2¢$100
2¢$152
2¢$100
1¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$19
5¢$155
5¢$100
5¢$200
5¢$32
6¢$200
6¢$100
6¢$32
7¢$100
7¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 75%Sells 25%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
16 min. agoSell3¢72
17 min. agoSell3¢15
18 min. agoBuy4¢111
20 min. agoBuy3¢44
22 min. agoSell3¢39
22 min. agoBuy3¢44
22 min. agoSell2¢35
22 min. agoSell3¢100
23 min. agoSell2¢6
23 min. agoBuy3¢168
23 min. agoBuy3¢167
23 min. agoSell2¢26
23 min. agoBuy3¢100
23 min. agoBuy3¢100
23 min. agoBuy3¢200
23 min. agoBuy2¢200
34 min. agoBuy2¢124
34 min. agoBuy2¢200
39 min. agoBuy2¢139
44 min. agoBuy2¢126
46 min. agoSell2¢20
54 min. agoBuy2¢109
1 hr. agoBuy2¢149
1 hr. agoBuy1¢70
1 hr. agoSell1¢20
1 hr. agoSell2¢16
1 hr. agoBuy2¢98
1 hr. agoBuy2¢127
1 hr. agoBuy2¢55
1 hr. agoBuy2¢104
1 hr. agoBuy2¢73
1 hr. agoBuy2¢100
1 hr. agoBuy2¢397
1 hr. agoBuy2¢50
1 hr. agoBuy2¢8
1 hr. agoBuy2¢45
1 hr. agoBuy2¢5
1 hr. agoBuy3¢7
1 hr. agoSell2¢534
1 hr. agoBuy2¢78
1 hr. agoSell2¢58
1 hr. agoBuy2¢67
1 hr. agoBuy2¢61
1 hr. agoBuy2¢50
1 hr. agoBuy2¢13
1 hr. agoBuy2¢89
1 hr. agoBuy2¢49
1 hr. agoSell3¢0
1 hr. agoSell3¢234
1 hr. agoBuy3¢12
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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