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Updated 17 min. ago

Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?

Politics
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4 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +1.8%24h
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

4 outcomes
See all 4 outcomes

Total volume

$230.3K

24h vol.

$65.7K

1w vol.

$230.3K

1m vol.

$230.3K

Liquidity

$228.1K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Oct 12, 2026

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$60
3¢$435
3¢$290
3¢$2,783
3¢$320
3¢$1,624
3¢$3,330
2¢$9,500
2¢$3,390
2¢$400
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$40
4¢$13,072
4¢$8,969
4¢$820
5¢$6
5¢$610
5¢$9,257
5¢$10,320
6¢$1,038
6¢$2,196

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 22%Sells 78%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell3¢0
2 hr. agoBuy3¢0
3 hr. agoSell3¢3
3 hr. agoBuy3¢3
3 hr. agoSell96¢200
3 hr. agoSell4¢200
3 hr. agoSell96¢4,069
3 hr. agoBuy96¢494
3 hr. agoBuy96¢10
3 hr. agoBuy96¢236
3 hr. agoBuy97¢1,437
3 hr. agoBuy97¢1,000
3 hr. agoBuy97¢200
3 hr. agoSell3¢683
3 hr. agoSell3¢10
3 hr. agoBuy4¢1,003
3 hr. agoSell4¢954
3 hr. agoSell4¢20
3 hr. agoBuy96¢22
3 hr. agoBuy96¢6
5 hr. agoSell3¢200
5 hr. agoSell97¢200
5 hr. agoSell3¢6,038
5 hr. agoBuy3¢200
5 hr. agoBuy3¢200
5 hr. agoSell97¢5,240
5 hr. agoBuy3¢22
5 hr. agoSell97¢376
5 hr. agoBuy97¢200
5 hr. agoSell97¢200
8 hr. agoSell3¢770
8 hr. agoSell97¢760
8 hr. agoBuy3¢10
11 hr. agoSell3¢100
11 hr. agoBuy3¢100
11 hr. agoSell3¢100
11 hr. agoBuy3¢100
11 hr. agoSell3¢100
11 hr. agoBuy3¢100
11 hr. agoSell3¢100
11 hr. agoBuy3¢100
11 hr. agoSell3¢100
11 hr. agoBuy3¢100
11 hr. agoSell3¢93
11 hr. agoBuy3¢93
11 hr. agoSell3¢100
11 hr. agoBuy3¢90
11 hr. agoBuy3¢10
13 hr. agoSell3¢100
13 hr. agoBuy3¢54

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