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Updated 1 day ago

Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

Politics
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59 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.3%24h
Yes 59¢No 41¢

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

4 outcomes
See all 4 outcomes

Total volume

$162.1K

24h vol.

$455.958

1w vol.

$162.1K

1m vol.

$162.1K

Liquidity

$326.4K

Bid / Ask

59¢ / 59¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

59¢

Start date

Oct 12, 2026

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
59¢$2,250
58¢$7,185
58¢$360
58¢$2,754
58¢$39,110
58¢$1,000
58¢$222
57¢$10
57¢$200
57¢$1,816
Asks (sell)Size
60¢$24
60¢$250
60¢$400
60¢$19,320
60¢$3,260
60¢$200
60¢$6,453
60¢$200
61¢$7,778
61¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 60%Sells 40%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell59¢588
1 day agoBuy59¢538
1 day agoBuy59¢50
2 days agoSell41¢57
2 days agoSell59¢57
2 days agoSell59¢30
2 days agoSell41¢30
2 days agoSell40¢143
2 days agoSell60¢113
2 days agoBuy40¢30
2 days agoBuy40¢2,523
2 days agoBuy59¢588
2 days agoBuy59¢200
2 days agoBuy60¢500
2 days agoBuy60¢200
2 days agoBuy60¢200
2 days agoBuy60¢836
2 days agoSell60¢4,000
2 days agoBuy60¢165
2 days agoBuy60¢2,400
2 days agoBuy60¢395
2 days agoBuy60¢200
2 days agoSell40¢191
2 days agoSell40¢650
2 days agoSell60¢4
2 days agoBuy60¢4
2 days agoSell60¢5
2 days agoBuy60¢5
2 days agoBuy60¢4
2 days agoSell60¢4
2 days agoBuy40¢8
2 days agoBuy60¢8
2 days agoBuy40¢3
2 days agoBuy60¢3
2 days agoBuy60¢3
2 days agoBuy40¢3
2 days agoBuy60¢5
2 days agoBuy40¢5
2 days agoBuy40¢3
2 days agoBuy60¢3
2 days agoBuy60¢4
2 days agoBuy40¢4
2 days agoBuy40¢6
2 days agoBuy60¢6
2 days agoBuy60¢3
2 days agoBuy40¢3
2 days agoBuy60¢3
2 days agoBuy40¢3
2 days agoBuy60¢2
2 days agoBuy40¢2

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