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Updated 1 day ago

Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?

Politics
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31 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −1.1%24h
Yes 31¢No 69¢

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

4 outcomes
See all 4 outcomes

Total volume

$113.9K

24h vol.

$759.303

1w vol.

$113.9K

1m vol.

$113.9K

Liquidity

$381.2K

Bid / Ask

31¢ / 32¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

32¢

Start date

Oct 12, 2026

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
32¢$148
32¢$22
32¢$7,682
32¢$360
31¢$3,253
31¢$400
31¢$202
31¢$551
31¢$1,000
31¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
33¢$12,382
33¢$11,100
33¢$2,235
33¢$10,732
33¢$8,621
33¢$3,862
34¢$200
34¢$5,700
34¢$1,000
34¢$32,828

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 27%Sells 73%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy68¢2
1 day agoSell68¢2
1 day agoBuy68¢4
1 day agoSell68¢4
1 day agoBuy68¢2
1 day agoSell68¢2
1 day agoBuy68¢3
1 day agoSell68¢3
1 day agoBuy68¢3
1 day agoSell68¢3
1 day agoBuy68¢2
1 day agoSell68¢2
1 day agoBuy68¢3
1 day agoSell68¢3
1 day agoBuy68¢4
1 day agoSell68¢4
2 days agoSell32¢5
2 days agoSell68¢5
2 days agoSell32¢1
2 days agoSell68¢1
2 days agoSell32¢4,000
2 days agoBuy32¢1,456
2 days agoBuy32¢1,050
2 days agoBuy33¢200
2 days agoSell67¢200
2 days agoSell67¢193
2 days agoSell67¢363
2 days agoSell67¢253
2 days agoSell67¢285
2 days agoBuy68¢200
2 days agoSell68¢200
2 days agoBuy68¢15
2 days agoSell68¢15
2 days agoSell69¢200
2 days agoBuy69¢200
2 days agoSell69¢200
2 days agoBuy69¢200
2 days agoSell69¢202
2 days agoBuy69¢202
2 days agoSell70¢200
2 days agoBuy70¢200
2 days agoSell70¢548
2 days agoSell31¢548
2 days agoSell70¢496
2 days agoSell31¢496
2 days agoSell70¢518
2 days agoSell31¢518
2 days agoSell70¢406
2 days agoSell31¢406
2 days agoBuy30¢3

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