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Updated 27 min. ago

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1 %
chance
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
5 outcomes- Democrats Sweep63 %
- R Senate, D House28 %
- Republicans Sweep9 %
- D Senate, R House1 %
- Other0 %
Total volume
$4.5M
24h vol.
$155.2K
1w vol.
$695.8K
1m vol.
$2.6M
Liquidity
$925.2K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 4, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 77 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 41 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 25 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 374 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 61 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 67 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 67 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 24 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 94 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 42 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2,136 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 245 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 320 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 210 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 124 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 118 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 118 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 124 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 119 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 121 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 119 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 121 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 15 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 21 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 120 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 121 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 120 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 1 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5,000 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5,000 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 143,915 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 119 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 123 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5,983 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 14 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 112 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 110 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 113 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 113 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 112 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 170 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 115,780 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 21,166 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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