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Updated 9 hr. ago

2026 Balance of Power: Other
0 %
chance
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
5 outcomesTotal volume
$3.3M
24h vol.
$33K
1w vol.
$607.3K
1m vol.
$1.4M
Liquidity
$220.2K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 4, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 196 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 196 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 587 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 587 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 783 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 783 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 16 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 17 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 17 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.