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Updated 10 min. ago
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
93 %
chance
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
9 outcomesTotal volume
$108.8K
24h vol.
$59.8K
1w vol.
$108.9K
1m vol.
$108.9K
Liquidity
$38.8K
Bid / Ask
92¢ / 93¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
93¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Oct 25, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 303 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 31 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 266 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 22 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 109 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 109 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 95 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 95 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 10 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 59 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 59 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 0 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 20 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 435 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 435 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 50 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 50 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 22 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 22 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 24 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 24 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 2 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 10 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 10 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 55 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 55 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 51 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 51 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 11 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 11 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 140 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 140 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1,107 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 29 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 8 |
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