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Updated 2 days ago
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?
94 %
chance
Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
6 outcomesTotal volume
$3.9K
24h vol.
$2.1K
1w vol.
$4K
1m vol.
$4K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
94¢ / 95¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
96¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 46 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 23 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 23 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 88 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 88 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 26 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 26 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 338 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 7 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 99¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 32 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 13 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 46 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 107 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 97 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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