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Updated 2 days ago

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?

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80 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▼ −3.0%24h
Yes 80¢No 20¢

Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale

6 outcomes

Total volume

$4.9K

24h vol.

$1K

1w vol.

$4.9K

1m vol.

$4.9K

Liquidity

$6.2K

Bid / Ask

79¢ / 81¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

82¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
73¢$129
72¢$41
71¢$39
60¢$700
57¢$100
56¢$60
55¢$9
53¢$260
23¢$120
22¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
77¢$129
78¢$150
79¢$40
86¢$55
97¢$11
98¢$61
99¢$100

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy30¢20
2 days agoBuy70¢0
2 days agoSell30¢13
2 days agoBuy71¢7
2 days agoBuy72¢5
2 days agoSell72¢5
2 days agoBuy24¢40
2 days agoBuy76¢20
2 days agoBuy76¢20
3 days agoBuy24¢19
3 days agoBuy76¢14
3 days agoBuy77¢5
3 days agoBuy24¢19
3 days agoBuy76¢19
3 days agoBuy23¢20
3 days agoBuy77¢20
3 days agoBuy20¢201
3 days agoBuy79¢22
3 days agoBuy80¢40
3 days agoBuy80¢40
3 days agoBuy80¢20
3 days agoBuy80¢20
3 days agoSell20¢20
3 days agoSell20¢25
3 days agoSell19¢14
3 days agoBuy79¢19
3 days agoBuy21¢19
3 days agoBuy86¢35
3 days agoBuy14¢35
3 days agoBuy74¢54
3 days agoBuy25¢14
3 days agoBuy26¢20
3 days agoBuy26¢20
3 days agoBuy82¢20
3 days agoBuy15¢14
3 days agoBuy25¢6
3 days agoBuy74¢20
3 days agoBuy26¢20
3 days agoBuy30¢3
3 days agoBuy70¢3
3 days agoBuy72¢15
3 days agoSell72¢15
3 days agoBuy30¢28
3 days agoBuy70¢15
3 days agoSell30¢13
3 days agoSell70¢20
3 days agoSell30¢7
3 days agoSell30¢13
3 days agoSell14¢20
3 days agoBuy14¢20

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