Skip to content

← Dashboard · Crypto

Updated 2 days ago

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?

Other
Log in for watchlist

65 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −0.5%24h
Yes 65¢No 35¢

Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale

6 outcomes

Total volume

$9.4K

24h vol.

$4.4K

1w vol.

$9.4K

1m vol.

$9.4K

Liquidity

$5.3K

Bid / Ask

63¢ / 67¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

62¢

Start date

Oct 16, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 17¢
Bids (buy)Size
54¢$30
53¢$154
47¢$1,000
44¢$200
37¢$100
26¢$168
25¢$280
20¢$10,000
5¢$50
2¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
71¢$213
78¢$60
93¢$36
94¢$60
98¢$5
99¢$39

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (41)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy56¢40
2 days agoBuy44¢20
2 days agoBuy44¢20
2 days agoSell59¢30
2 days agoBuy59¢10
2 days agoBuy59¢20
2 days agoBuy41¢10
2 days agoBuy59¢10
3 days agoBuy57¢20
3 days agoSell57¢20
3 days agoBuy35¢720
3 days agoSell36¢20
3 days agoBuy65¢30
3 days agoBuy65¢500
3 days agoBuy65¢80
3 days agoBuy66¢20
3 days agoSell34¢20
3 days agoSell34¢50
3 days agoBuy71¢7
3 days agoBuy29¢7
3 days agoBuy70¢29
3 days agoBuy30¢7
3 days agoBuy30¢22
3 days agoBuy69¢20
3 days agoBuy31¢20
3 days agoBuy69¢3
3 days agoBuy31¢3
3 days agoBuy19¢20
3 days agoSell19¢20
3 days agoBuy65¢20
3 days agoBuy35¢20
3 days agoBuy22¢20
3 days agoSell22¢20
3 days agoBuy61¢20
3 days agoBuy39¢20
3 days agoBuy16¢20
3 days agoSell16¢20
3 days agoBuy12¢20
3 days agoBuy88¢20
3 days agoBuy73¢20
3 days agoBuy27¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.